Weather and counter attack spring in Ukraine: the importance of climatic conditions

In Ukraine, a large-scale spring counter-attack could take place in the coming weeks, with several factors to take into account: the warming of the weather

1. Meeting with Roman, Ukrainian elite soldier

In Ukraine, a large spring counter-offensive could take place soon, but several factors must be considered, such as the weather and the state of equipment and ammunition deliveries from Western allies. In the south of the country, on the front line crossing the Zaporijjia region, the soldiers are on high alert. Meeting with Roman, a young elite soldier of the Ukrainian National Guard, determined to fight.

 

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2. Strategic goals of the Ukrainian army

20-year-old Roman is already decorated with the title of Hero of Ukraine. In one year, he shot down six Russian fighter jets with his rocket launcher. He and his unit are ready to act. They are waiting for favorable weather conditions so that their tanks do not get bogged down. Roman says everyone is in a fighting spirit and wants to attack.

The objective of the Ukrainian army is to move towards the south and the coast. Roman points out that by taking Melitopol, Mariupol and Berdyansk, they will cut off the Russians from Crimea and encircle them in the Kherson region, before continuing on to Crimea. It is crucial to expel them from the Sea of ​​Azov.

The sky must remain clear and the ground continue to dry for the offensive to take place. Evgueni Prigojine, leader of the paramilitary group Wagner, recently threatened to withdraw from Bakhmout, the epicenter of the fighting in Ukraine, if his troops did not receive more support. He also accused the high command of being responsible for tens of thousands of Russians killed and injured in Ukraine, as a major Western-backed Ukrainian offensive looms.

Prigozhin claimed to have received a promise from Moscow to receive more ammunition and armaments to continue fighting in Bakhmout. General Sergei Surovikin will now make all decisions regarding Wagner's military operations in cooperation with the Russian Defense Ministry.

 

3. Role of the group paramilitary Wagner

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The sky must remain clear and the ground continue to dry for the offensive to take place. Evgueni Prigojine, leader of the paramilitary group Wagner, recently threatened to withdraw from Bakhmout, the epicenter of the fighting in Ukraine, if his troops did not receive more support. He also accused the high command of being responsible for tens of thousands of Russians killed and injured in Ukraine, as a major Western-backed Ukrainian offensive looms.

Prigogine claimed to have received a promise from Moscow to receive more ammunition and armaments to continue fighting in Bakhmout. General Sergei Surovikin will now make all decisions regarding Wagner's military operations in cooperation with the Russian Defense Ministry.

The weather plays a key role in planning the spring counterattack in Ukraine. Ideal climatic conditions are expected to avoid logistical difficulties and optimize the chances of success. However, the situation remains complex due to political and military issues.